Donald Trump is holding a 304,108 vote lead over Hillary Clinton in the state of Michigan as of 7 a.m., according to results posted online by the Michigan Secretary of State.
But that number comes with a big caveat -- among the three counties that have yet to report numbers is heavily Democratic Wayne County, including the city of Detroit.
Wayne County hasn't updated its online numbers since 2:05 a.m., when it reported 995 precincts of 1,171 had been counted.
In those Clinton is holding a nearly two-to-one lead over Trump.
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The slow returns mean several races and ballot proposals are still up in the air. That includes the Regional Transit Authority of Southeast Michigan property tax millage and proposals in the city of Detroit. Also, several state-wide races, including the state Board of Education and board members at Michigan State University, the University of Michigan and Wayne State University are still up in the air. Republicans in those races were winning - but the heavily Democratic Wayne County vote could swing those results when all is counted.
Clinton had bet heavily on winning in the industrial Midwest because of her traditional strength among Democrats. But the turnout in Wayne County and especially Detroit appeared down. And while Clinton won handily in Oakland County -- 51%-43% with all precincts reporting -- she lost badly in working-class Macomb County, where Trump threw a big rally last Sunday -- by double digits.
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In recent weeks, Michigan became a last-minute election battleground, even though less than a month ago polls gave Clinton what appeared at the time to be a nearly insurmountable double-digit lead in polls in the state.
As Trump settled down as the election loomed and Republicans initially wary of the volatile, politically inexperienced businessman came home to support their nominee, Clinton's lead narrowed considerably, dropping to 4 points in the latest Free Press poll last week. But that, too, may have missed the level of support for Trump in the state.
That narrowing of the race drew national attention as it appeared that Michigan -- which last voted for a Republican nominee in 1988 when it supported George H.W. Bush, but had long been considered a top target for Trump and his strategy of going after disaffected, white, working-class voters -- was back in play.
Trump and his top surrogates made several visits to the state -- including a well-attended rally at Freedom Hill Amphitheater in Sterling Heights on Sunday before the election, and his closing argument to voters after midnight Tuesday morning in Grand Rapids -- as he worked to break through Clinton's firewall.
Clinton responded with rallies of her own, talking to voters last Friday at Eastern Market in Detroit and visiting the state again on Monday with an appearance at Grand Valley State University in west Michigan, causing national pundits to suspect that her campaign had concerns about holding onto the state. Privately, however, Clinton supporters were said to be cautiously optimistic about holding onto Michigan and the nation.
Obama visited Ann Arbor on Monday as well, giving a speech at the University of Michigan intended to lure millennials to the polls -- and, according to CNN exit polls, it appeared she did win younger voters by a substantial margin. But those same exit polls showed Trump winning every other age bracket in Michigan and taking a 13-point lead among male voters compared to a 9-point lead Clinton had among women in the state.
Those same exit polls also showed Trump winning white voters in the state by a 58%-35% margin -- beating Republican Mitt Romney's margins of four years before.
Earlier in the night, a look at a majority of key precincts across the state by the Free Press' political analyst Kiska indicated that Clinton would win, maintaining a seventh-straight presidential cycle in which the Democrats were expected to hold Michigan. The Free Press called the state on the basis of that analysis, though at 7 a.m. the final votes hadn't been tallied.
Results from 80 key precincts showed Clinton with a slight lead and only slightly underperforming President Barack Obama's margin of victory in those same precincts four years ago.
"I think we're getting a good solid cross section of precincts from across the state," said Kiska. "I just don't see it turning around. It might not be five points, but It's going to be a win for Hillary Clinton."
(2016 © Detroit Free Press)